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In this video, we’re going to look into the recent polling on the upcoming elected in Australia, which issues are likely to come up in the campaign, and whether ultimately, Albanese will win the election.
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SOURCES
The Guardian, on Labor’s Budget
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/mar/26/labor-to-push-tax-cuts-through-parliament-in-apparent-attempt-to-wedge-coalition
The Guardian, on the Coalition’s Opposition to the Budget
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/mar/25/angus-taylor-says-coalition-will-not-support-labor-federal-budget-2025-tax-cuts
Polymarket Likelihood of Albanese Winning the Election
https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-australiatid=1743090254190
SBS News on Albanese Calling the Election
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/federal-election-date-revealed/ratudffcu
Herald Sun on the Date of the Australian Election
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/national/federal-election/when-is-the-next-australian-federal-election-in-2025/news-story/2adb3680f312895de8465aa02a5a05a8
Parliament of Australia Explainer on When Federal Elections Can be Called
https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_departments/Parliamentary_Library/Research/Quick_Guides/2022-23/WhenIsTheNextElection2022
The Guardian on Albanese Calling New Election
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/mar/28/australian-federal-election-date-anthony-albanese-calls-poll-for-3-may
YouGov MRP Poll
https://au.yougov.com/politics/articles/51859-election-remains-tightly-poised-at-50-50-2pp-in-latest-yougov-poll
YouGov MRP Poll Explainer
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/51908-labor-one-seat-short-of-a-majority-in-yougovs-second-mrp-of-the-2025-australian-election
News AU Poll
https://www.news.com.au/national/federal-election/shock-new-poll-that-could-see-peter-dutton-win-the-federal-election/news-story/aca96ec4fde653750f325343c2659b46
The Guardian Poll Tracker
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/ng-interactive/2025/mar/31/australian-election-2025-polls-today-opinion-poll-tracker-essential-newspoll-2pp-party-labor-coalition-anthony-albanese-peter-dutton-latest
The Guardian Analysis of Polling
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/mar/28/australian-federal-election-2025-analysis-liberal-labor-dutton-albanese
Bloomberg Polling
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-30/australia-s-pm-takes-the-lead-in-polls-as-election-race-starts
FirstPost on Albanese’s Poll Lead
https://www.firstpost.com/world/afghan-refugees-in-pakistan-fear-forced-return-as-deportation-deadline-ends-13876054.html
Sydney Morning Herald on Why it Took So Long for Labor to Take the Lead
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-has-finally-found-a-more-convincing-message-the-mystery-is-why-it-took-so-long-20250330-p5lnln.html
Sydney Morning Herald on Why the Labor Has Its Mojo Back
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/after-months-in-the-doldrums-the-government-has-its-mojo-back-right-when-it-was-really-needed-20250330-p5lnn2.html
Reserve Bank of Australia Inflation Data
https://www.rba.gov.au/inflation/measures-cpi.html
ABC News on Dutton’s Closeness to Trump
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03-20/dutton-confident-of-common-ground-with-trump/105076752
The Australia Institute Polling on Australian Attitudes Towards Trump
https://australiainstitute.org.au/report/polling-president-trump-security-and-the-us-australian-alliance/
Independent Australia on Dutton’s Closeness to Trump
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/duttons-trump-mania-is-a-dumb-political-move,19550
Coalition Attitudes Towards Dutton’s Immigration Referendum
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/mar/18/peter-dutton-referendum-deporting-australia-dual-citizenship-criminals
FT on Albanese’s Battle in the Election
https://www.ft.com/content/299f2d4b-0bcc-46fd-9a4d-f90b02e44de6