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Polls suggest that Texas has a genuine chance of flipping to the Democrats in the upcoming Senate race with the momentum behind James Talarico. So in this video, we’ll discuss the factors behind this political shift and whether it could actually happen.
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Sources
Texas senate race polling:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas#Polling_4Â
Cook Political Report shifts Texas to toss-up:
https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/texas-and-iowa-senate-races-move-toss-races-governor-also-moveÂ
https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratingsÂ
Sabatoâs Crystal Ball shifts Texas to toss-up:
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/three-rating-changes-in-texas-all-towards-democrats/
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2026-senate/Â
Paxtonâs various scandals/issues:
 https://edition.cnn.com/2026/05/26/politics/ken-paxton-controversies-james-talarico-texas-senateÂ
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/27/us/politics/paxton-talarico-texas-senate-race.htmlÂ
Crockett wonât campaign for Talarico:
 https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6058356-crockett-down-ballot-texas-senate/Â
Talaricoâs âPeople vs Paxtonâ campaign:
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/talarico-targets-paxtons-scandals-in-texas-senate-race-pivoting-from-his-sunny-primary-messageÂ
Paxton attacks Talaricoâs âmasculinityâ:
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/08/03/republicans-want-to-talk-about-james-talaricos-manhood-talarico-says-let-them-01021694
https://x.com/KenPaxtonTX/status/2059660775552061754
https://abcnews.com/Politics/talarico-walks-back-comments-religion-gender-after-paxtons/story?id=133361405
Cornyn criticises Paxton:
 https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6060935-ken-paxton-john-cornyn-texas-senate-race-criticism/Â
Latest fundraising data:
 https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/TX/2026/Â
Establishment Republicans reluctant to finance Paxton:
 https://www.texastribune.org/2026/08/28/john-cornyn-ken-paxton-texas-fundraising-talarico-senate-race/Â
 https://edition.cnn.com/talarico-paxton-senate-race-fundraisingÂ
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/09/01/maga-superpac-spending-republicans-01057871Â
Trumpâs approval rating:
 https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletinÂ
NYT June poll, Texas senate race:
 https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/30/upshot/texas-poll-talarico-paxton.htmlÂ
 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/07/01/polls/times-siena-texas-poll-crosstabs.htmlÂ
Potential for MAGA/Musk money to boost Paxton:
 https://www.politico.com/news/2026/09/01/maga-superpac-spending-republicans-01057871
https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2026/08/31/billionaire-bankrolled-republican-fund-about-to-be-unleashed-for-midterms-if-trump-allows/
https://edition.cnn.com/talarico-paxton-senate-race-fundraisingÂ
 https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-is-expected-to-point-his-money-machine-at-texas/
