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The past few weeks have been pretty great for the Democrats. But the race for the presidency is still a toss-up, and Trump still enjoys relatively high polling numbers. So, what will it take for Trump to win?
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1 – https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
2 – https://home.treasury.gov/news/featured-stories/the-us-economic-recovery-in-international-context-2023
3 – https://www.statista.com/statistics/193290/unemployment-rate-in-the-usa-since-1990/
4 – https://www.ft.com/content/9c7931aa-4973-475e-9841-d7ebd54b0f47
5 – https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w31010/w31010.pdf
6 – https://www.ft.com/content/8cd76cde-7694-4674-99a7-188c18257530
7 – https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/13/voter-perceptions-economy/
8 – https://www.seattletimes.com/business/bidens-approval-rating-on-the-economy-stagnates-despite-slowing-inflation-ap-norc-poll-shows/
9 – https://www.ft.com/content/b2f17824-cdfc-4547-abf0-66178a0a747f
10 – https://www.ft.com/content/cf9a7c4d-3b82-4867-892c-f4f95daebbc7
11 – https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/dnc-democrats-republicans-policy-economy-lgbtq-b2598620.html
12 – https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/08/19/swing-states-trust-trump-more-on-the-economy-than-harris/
13 – https://news.sky.com/story/fears-of-us-recession-send-asian-stock-markets-tumbling-13191108
14 – https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/USA-FED-SAHM/0H001QXBP8S1/index.html
15 – https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
16 – https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2024/01/24/americas-border-crisis-summarised-in-ten-charts
17 – https://www.politico.eu/article/france-left-split-melenchon-call-emmanuel-macron-impeachment-castets/
18 – https://news.vanderbilt.edu/2021/07/19/pre-election-polls-in-2020-had-the-largest-errors-in-40-years/
00:00 – Introduction
01:08 – Caveats
01:38 – Economy
05:12 – Border
05:58 – Trump’s Polls
07:02 – Sponsored Content
