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With a steady GDP growth, Australia’s economy seems to be doing pretty well. But, all is not well in the “lucky country,” as one of the big credit rating agencies warned it was considering downgrading Australia’s status. So, what has gone wrong?

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OECD Disposable income data
https://www.oecd.org/en/data/dashboards/households-economic-well-being-the-oecd-dashboard.html

Australia growth record 1991-2020
https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2017/09/05/how-australia-broke-the-record-for-economic-growth

Australia export profile​​
https://x.com/JosephPolitano/status/1805636271370391654

World Bank GDP per capita data
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?most_recent_value_desc=true

Australia treasury overview of 1997-98
https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2019-03/round3-9.pdf

Data on $400bn windfall
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/we-wasted-a-400b-windfall-and-now-we-ll-all-have-to-pay-20250314-p5ljjv

Australia GDP growth figures
https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/gdp-growth

Australia quarterly economic data (Q2/22 – Q4/23)
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/national-accounts/australian-national-accounts-national-income-expenditure-and-product/dec-2023
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/national-accounts/australian-national-accounts-national-income-expenditure-and-product/latest-release

IPA report on increases in Australian government spending
https://ipa.org.au/publications-ipa/media-releases/government-spending-out-of-control-up-129-billion-a-year-from-a-decade-prior

ABC report on public spending keping Australia out of recession
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12-05/government-keeps-the-economy-afloat-as-private-sector-stagnates/104684708

Albanese on S&P downgrade possibility
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c70zy7x0xy9o

ABC article with graph on productivity since 2000
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03-05/gdp-december-2024-growth-australia/105011892

Australia low investment data
https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2025/03/productivity-collapses-on-australias-economy/

Australian housing data
https://www.morningstar.com.au/insights/personal-finance/250560/australian-housing-is-twice-as-expensive-as-the-us
http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf

Bloomberg documentary on Australia’s economic crisis (with data on household debt levels relative to disposable income)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-17/video-why-australia-s-miracle-economy-is-stalling

Guardian article with data on household spending growth over time
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/article/2024/sep/05/australia-economy-gdp-growth-rba-interest-rates

00:00 – Introduction
01:16 – “The Lucky Country”
03:17 – Australia’s Recent Economic Crisis
04:48 – Productivity
06:00 – Housing
07:04 – China
07:47 – Sponsored Content

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