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The recent voting behaviours of young people across the world have attracted a lot of attention, with them seemingly swinging back and forth. In this video, we’re taking a look at this volatility and whether young people are more volatile than older generations.
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2024 US election voting pattern, demographic breakdown by Pew:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2025/06/26/voting-patterns-in-the-2024-election/
Trump’s approval falling fastest among youth, YouGov:
https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/53277-new-second-term-low-donald-trump-job-approval-government-spending
G Elliott Morris analysis of swing against Trump in 2025:
https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-winning-2024-coalition-has
German election results (2021 & 2025), demographic breakdown:
https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-election-2021-results-charts/
https://www.dw.com/en/german-election-results-explained-in-graphics/a-71724186
UK elections results (2019 & 2024), demographic breakdown:
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/26925-how-britain-voted-2019-general-election
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49978-how-britain-voted-in-the-2024-general-election
Younger generations more likely to consider voting for more parties (Reto Mitteregger 2025):
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10.1080/01402382.2024.2412477
Young voters more likely to switch than older voters (M. Kent Jennings, Gregory B. Markus 1984):
https://www.jstor.org/stable/1955804
Winning parties typically gain disproportionately among young voters (Roderik Rekker 2022):
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379421001372
Younger Americans less likely to identify with parties, Pew:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/age-generational-cohorts-and-party-identification/
Young French more likely to be politically disaffiliated, Institut Montaigne:
https://www.institutmontaigne.org/publications/une-jeunesse-plurielle-enquete-aupres-des-18-24-ans
Young voters more prone to decide late in the campaign (Marco Lisi 2022):
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/spsr.12534
2024 UK election most volatile in nearly a century:
https://electoral-reform.org.uk/why-are-voters-switching-parties-more-than-ever/
Emanuele, V. (2015), Dataset of Electoral Volatility and its internal components in Western Europe (1945-2015), Rome: Italian Center for Electoral Studies, http://www.vincenzoemanuele.com/dataset-of-electoral-volatility.html
Western European countries are increasingly electorally volatile:
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/italian-political-science-review-rivista-italiana-di-scienza-politica/article/abs/towards-turbulent-times-measuring-and-explaining-party-system-deinstitutionalization-in-western-europe-19452015/4FEB17E1253E0B47DCF0633BEAD52F95
https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-97978-2
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13540688231176052#core-bibr9-13540688231176052-1
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13501763.2025.2502664
00:00 – Introduction
01:11 – Youth Volatility
04:18 – Explanation
06:33 – Conclusion
07:39 – Sponsored Content
