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As wars rage around the world and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, we break down the six ongoing and emerging conflicts we think you should be keeping an eye on as we head into the new year, and how they might develop in 2026.
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Sources:
Global Conflict Trends 2026
https://www.icrc.org/en/article/humanitarian-outlook-2026
https://humanitarianaction.info/document/global-humanitarian-overview-2026/article/trends-crises-and-needs-world-breaking-point
https://www.visionofhumanity.org/technology-and-modern-warfare-how-drones-and-ai-are-transforming-conflict/
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/08/25/next-five-wars-conflicts-00511704
https://www.economist.com/interactive/the-world-ahead/2025/11/12/seven-conflicts-to-watch-in-the-coming-year
Thailand-Cambodia
https://youtu.be/RZ3EKtwBDIk?si=1qMOwUqG4UZViKvK
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c39p7jkp27lo
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/border-clashes-displace-some-700-000-people-in-thailand-cambodia-as-death-toll-hits-23/3769448
US-Venezuela
https://www.cfr.org/article/mapping-us-military-buildup-near-venezuela
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz688jp90epo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3v15zkxpe0o
https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2025/12/11/venezuelas-crisis-is-not-an-oil-grab-but-a-power-grab
Russia-Europe
https://youtu.be/bnt3CNXMPo0?si=GGkQCdcQchPd3mlf
https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2025/11/12/vladimir-putin-has-no-plan-for-winning-in-ukraine
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/putin-ready-war-europe-russia-ukraine-b2876909.html
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/us-sets-2027-deadline-europe-led-nato-defense-officials-say-2025-12-05/
West Africa
https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/salafi-jihadi-areas-of-operation-in-west-africa-interactive-map-and-campaign-analysis
https://acleddata.com/report/economic-warfare-escalates-militants-expand-beyond-sahel
Sudan
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjel2nn22z9o
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c78z025dze4o
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/egypt-and-turkey-move-support-saf-following-fall-el-fasher
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2025/nov/19/an-existential-battle-of-interests-what-the-sudanese-war-is-actually-about
China-Taiwan
https://youtu.be/zZV7Tkde9pM?si=T5FidUG3kbTPO8_s
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-massing-military-ships-across-region-show-maritime-force-sources-say-2025-12-04/
https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2025/03/from-strategic-ambiguity-to-strategic-anxiety-taiwans.html
