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The US economy was looking somewhat on the up in the last couple of months but that appears to have now slowed down. In this video, we’re taking a look at the economy and why it now risks “stagflation”.
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Sources
EJ Antoni comments
https://www.ft.com/content/51ad00f4-1c70-45df-9eb1-fe8038af1fd7?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Oil intensity
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2026/03/the-oil-and-energy-intensity-of-us-gdp
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/war-oil-and-the-world-economy
US economic data
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth-annual#
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/13/fourth-quarter-gdp-revised-down-to-just-0point7percent-growth-january-core-inflation-was-3point1percent.html
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi
https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/risk-higher-us-inflation-2026
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/core-pce-price-index-annual-change
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/ppi.asp
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/core-producer-prices-yoy
Oil prices
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brent_Crude
https://www.ft.com/content/320156d4-2c43-49c3-a005-e9c6f1d4b4e4
https://uk.investing.com/commodities/dubai-crude-oil-platts-futures
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/DFM-OMOIL1!/?timeframe=12M
Bloomberg data on inflation expectations
https://x.com/TKL_Adam/status/2035050736724451432/photo/1
FT poll from economists
https://www.ft.com/content/d4c3f857-eb50-47c5-a109-050a8c2f2346?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Polymarket on 2026 recession odds
https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-by-end-of-2026
