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The AI boom is starting to look increasingly like a bubble as investment outstrips revenue by unprecedented levels and even major tech companies are financing development in sneaky ways. And if the bubble bursts, it could take the US economy down with it.
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Why AI looks a bit bubbly
https://www.economist.com/business/2025/07/31/who-will-pay-for-the-trillion-dollar-ai-boomÂ
https://www.ft.com/content/c7b9453e-f528-4fc3-9bbd-3dbd369041be?mc_cid=6c51aaf3e5&mc_eid=5917efd771Â
https://paulkedrosky.com/weekend-reading-plus-spvs-meta-and-fiber-buildout-2-0/Â
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-04/why-ai-bubble-concerns-loom-as-openai-microsoft-meta-ramp-up-spendingÂ
https://www.ft.com/content/da16e2b1-4fc2-4868-8a37-17030b8c5498Â
Bull case
https://www.derekthompson.org/p/why-ai-is-not-a-bubbleÂ
https://hbr.org/2025/10/is-ai-a-boom-or-a-bubbleÂ
US economic dependence on AI
https://x.com/JosephPolitano/status/1975351961898918049/photo/1Â
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/americas-future-could-hinge-on-whether?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=webÂ
https://seekingalpha.com/news/4464647-deeper-dive-the-wealthiest-10-of-americans-own-90-of-the-stock-marketÂ
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-16/top-10-of-earners-drive-a-growing-share-of-us-consumer-spendingÂ
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjedze7e95loÂ
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/08/18/how-americas-ai-boom-is-squeezing-the-rest-of-the-economyÂ
https://www.ft.com/content/e9be3e3f-2efe-42f7-b2d2-8ab3efea27a8Â
https://mronline.org/2025/10/17/the-ai-bubble-and-the-u-s-economy/Â
Global economic dependence
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/09/07/what-if-the-ai-stockmarket-blows-upÂ
https://www.apolloacademy.com/record-high-foreign-ownership-of-the-us-equity-market/