Is Israel about to Invade Lebanon (again)?

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Israeli strikes in Lebanon threaten to plunge the country back into conflict and disarray, with Hezbollah attacking in the wake of the war in Iran. So in this video, we’ll explain what’s happened and if we could see an Israeli ground invasion of Lebanon.

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Sources:

Lebanon’s positive trajectory 2025:
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2025-11/The%20Cedar%26%23039%3Bs%20Turn%20-%20Lebanon%26%23039%3Bs%20Emerging%20Momentum%20in%202025.pdf 

Israeli strikes during ceasefire:
https://israel-alma.org/monthly-summary-idf-airstrikes-in-lebanon-and-hezbollah-activity-february-2026/ 

Implementation of ceasefire:
https://theconversation.com/hezbollah-degraded-weakened-but-not-yet-disarmed-destabilizes-lebanon-once-again-277327 

Hezbollah attacks Israel after Khamenei assassination:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y4v8g13wxo 

Lebanese death toll and Israeli offensive:
https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/death-toll-israeli-strikes-lebanon-rises-687?nid=434266&topic=War%2520on%2520Iran&fid=552991 

Israeli strikes on Beirut:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj32750e7j6o
https://www.ft.com/content/63bf2190-96f6-4192-beed-eeec0ead921d 
https://apnews.com/video/israeli-strike-hits-a-major-seaside-tourist-area-of-beirut-ap-explains-d8619f5edced47d9accab8c1f8d97a65
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2gjq8qd09o
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/12/israel-bombards-beirut-southern-lebanon-hezbollah 

Attempted Israeli raid in eastern Lebanon:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy8l2p2l3v0o 
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/07/dozens-killed-in-lebanon-as-israel-searches-for-signs-of-navigator-missing-for-40-years-00818072 

Two Israeli soldiers killed in Hezbollah attack:
https://www.timesofisrael.com/two-idf-soldiers-killed-in-hezbollah-attack-in-southern-lebanon/ 

Wednesday/Thursday night heavy exchange of fire:
https://x.com/UNIFIL_/status/2032053039415103819 
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/12/israel-bombards-beirut-southern-lebanon-hezbollah
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2gjq8qd09o 

Lebanese government bans Hezbollah military activity:
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/03/02/lebanon-bans-hezbollah-s-armed-wing-after-rocket-fire_6751019_4.html 

Hezbollah’s isolation in Lebanon:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4gq3ykg7pvo
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hezbollahs-entry-into-iran-crisis-deepens-its-isolation-home-2026-03-04/
https://www.ft.com/content/037f1db8-1183-498e-9c25-4239e574cf15 

Israel redeploys brigade to northern border:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/12/israel-bombards-beirut-southern-lebanon-hezbollah 

Hezbollah bracing for Israeli invasion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hezbollah-returns-guerrilla-roots-awaits-israeli-invasion-2026-03-10/ 

Israel expects Lebanon war to outlast Iran war:
https://www.ft.com/content/364a246a-8837-4de0-82d8-53d982844bfa 

France pushing for ceasefire and helping Lebanon:
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/03/09/lebanon-macron-calls-for-action-but-faces-israel-s-refusal_6751262_4.html
https://www.rfi.fr/en/france/20260306-france-ramps-up-military-aid-to-lebanon-as-macron-calls-for-halt-in-attacks-middle-east-war
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/france-provide-60-tons-humanitarian-aid-lebanon-2026-03-11/ 

Lebanese government seeks ceasefire:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd9g5p3ppxlo
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/03/12/israel-hezbollah-lebanon-war/

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