Will Trump Spark a New Nuclear Arms Race?

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Trump’s recent suggestion that the US will soon re-engage in nuclear weapons testing has up-ended decades of policy and sparked anxiety that we could be entering a new nuclear age, with other major powers stepping up efforts to modernise their capability.

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Nuclear weapons around the world, who has what:
https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/nuclear-weapons-who-has-what-glance
https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/

Trump announces new nuclear testing:
https://trumpstruth.org/statuses/33513
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/us/politics/trump-nuclear-testing-cold-war.html
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/30/trump-vagueness-nuclear-testing-arms-race-russia-china/
https://www.cfr.org/expert-brief/will-trumps-nuclear-testing-order-prompt-global-race

Energy Secretary says testing won’t be explosive:
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5586001-trump-nuclear-weapons-testing/

Recent nuclear exercises and drills (US, Russia, NATO, China etc):
https://www.icanw.org/what_you_need_to_know_about_recent_nuclear_exercises_and_threats

Russia’s new nuclear doctrine:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj4v0rey0jzo

China’s nuclear triad on display:
https://www.csis.org/analysis/parading-chinas-nuclear-arsenal-out-shadows

North Korea increases nuclear arsenal and reveals uranium facility:
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/north-koreas-kim-jong-un-says-country-increase-number-nuclear-weapons-kcna-says-2024-09-09/
https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20250930/north-korea-says-it-wont-give-up-nuclear-weapons
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly9ypzq8qeo

Possibility of a South Korean nuke:
https://www.csis.org/analysis/will-south-koreas-nuclear-ambitions-subside-next-five-years
https://globalaffairs.org/research/public-opinion-survey/thinking-nuclear-south-korean-attitudes-nuclear-weapons

UK increases warhead cap:
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9175/

France floats extending nuclear umbrella:
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/03/05/macron-says-he-will-open-debate-on-using-french-nuclear-deterrence-to-protect-europe_6738859_4.html
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-tusk-plan-train-poland-men-military-service-russia/

Ukraine and nuclear weapons:
https://www.politico.eu/article/give-ukraine-nuclear-weapons-says-volodymyr-zelenskyy/
https://carnegieendowment.org/programs/nuclear-policy/proliferation-news/zelenskys-demand-nato-or-nuclear-weapons-proliferation-news-102224?lang=en

New nuclear age following post-Cold War calm:
https://cis.mit.edu/news/how-survive-new-nuclear-age

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